Ulta Beauty Stock Analysis

ULTA Stock  USD 647.36  16.26  2.58%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Ulta Beauty extending back to October 25, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Ulta Beauty stands at 647.36, as last reported on the 1st of February, with the highest price reaching 648.44 and the lowest price hitting 624.95 during the day.
IPO Date
25th of October 2007
200 Day MA
514.431
50 Day MA
602.3066
Beta
0.853
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Ulta Beauty holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.049. At present, Ulta Beauty's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt To EBITDA is expected to grow to 0.62, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 1.3 B. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Ulta Beauty's Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Ulta Beauty's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Ulta Beauty's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Ulta Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Ulta Beauty's stakeholders.
For most companies, including Ulta Beauty, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Ulta Beauty, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Ulta Beauty's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
10.633
Enterprise Value Ebitda
16.1929
Price Sales
2.4225
Shares Float
44.2 M
Wall Street Target Price
674.5833
At present, Ulta Beauty's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 55.7 M, whereas Treasury Stock is forecasted to decline to (13.7 M). . At present, Ulta Beauty's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 26.72, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.36.
Ulta Beauty is undervalued with Real Value of 702.64 and Target Price of 674.58. The main objective of Ulta Beauty stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ulta Beauty is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ulta Beauty's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ulta Beauty stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Ulta Beauty's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ulta Beauty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
For information on how to trade Ulta Stock refer to our How to Trade Ulta Stock guide.

Ulta Stock Analysis Notes

About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.67. Ulta Beauty recorded earning per share (EPS) of 26.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2012. Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a retailer of beauty products in the United States. Ulta Beauty, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois. Ulta Beauty operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 16500 people. For more information please call the company at 630 410 4800 or visit https://www.ulta.com.

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Total Revenue

2.86 Billion

Ulta Beauty Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Ulta Beauty's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Ulta Beauty or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Does Ultas Middle East and Wellness Push Redefine the Bull Case For Ulta Beauty

Ulta Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ulta Beauty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2008-09-04
2008-07-310.050.060.0120 
2008-06-04
2008-04-300.070.080.0114 
2009-03-19
2009-01-310.190.210.0210 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ulta Beauty Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Ulta Beauty's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Ulta Beauty's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Ulta Beauty's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Ulta Beauty's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Ulta Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Amvescap Plc.2025-06-30
628.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
592.3 K
Franklin Resources Inc2025-06-30
582.6 K
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-06-30
563 K
Norges Bank2025-06-30
553.2 K
Swedbank Ab2025-06-30
545 K
Deutsche Bank Ag2025-06-30
531.3 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
509.2 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2025-06-30
503.2 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
5.3 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
4.1 M
Note, although Ulta Beauty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ulta Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 29.03 B.

Ulta Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.1 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.18  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.34  0.19 
Return On Assets 0.18  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.43  0.46 

Management Efficiency

Ulta Beauty has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1515 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1515 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.4797 %, meaning that it created $0.4797 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Ulta Beauty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ulta Beauty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Equity is expected to grow to 0.46, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.1. At present, Ulta Beauty's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 3.6 B, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to about 51.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 47.44  49.81 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 47.23  49.59 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 10.07  9.48 
Price Book Value Ratio 7.04  5.14 
Enterprise Value Multiple 10.07  9.48 
Price Fair Value 7.04  5.14 
Enterprise Value15.1 B8.1 B
Understanding the operational decisions made by Ulta Beauty management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin
0.1083
Profit Margin
0.0993
Beta
0.853
Return On Assets
0.1515
Return On Equity
0.4797

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of February, Ulta Beauty has the Semi Deviation of 1.24, coefficient of variation of 631.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1213. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Ulta Beauty, as well as the relationship between them.

Ulta Beauty Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Triple Exponential Moving Average (T3) indicator is developed by Tim Tillson as Ulta Beauty price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average.

Ulta Beauty Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ulta Beauty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ulta Beauty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ulta Beauty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Ulta Beauty Outstanding Bonds

Ulta Beauty issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ulta Beauty uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ulta bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ulta Beauty has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Ulta Beauty Predictive Daily Indicators

Ulta Beauty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ulta Beauty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ulta Beauty Corporate Filings

8K
18th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
17th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
10th of December 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
4th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
16th of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
8th of September 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
3rd of September 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
28th of August 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Ulta Beauty Forecast Models

Ulta Beauty's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ulta Beauty's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ulta Beauty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Ulta Beauty Bond Ratings

Ulta Beauty financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Ulta Beauty have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Ulta Beauty's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.27)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Ulta Beauty Debt to Cash Allocation

As Ulta Beauty follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Ulta Beauty's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
Ulta Beauty currently holds 1.92 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.05, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ulta Beauty has a current ratio of 1.6, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about Ulta Beauty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Ulta Beauty Total Assets Over Time

Ulta Beauty Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Ulta Beauty uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Ulta Beauty Debt Ratio

    
  22.0   
It appears most of the Ulta Beauty's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Ulta Beauty's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Ulta Beauty, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Ulta Beauty Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Ulta bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ulta Beauty has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Ulta Net Debt

Net Debt

1.47 Billion

At present, Ulta Beauty's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

About Ulta Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ulta Beauty prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ulta shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ulta Beauty. By using and applying Ulta Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ulta entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.13  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.08 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.27 

Current Ulta Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ulta analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ulta analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
674.58Buy28Odds
Ulta Beauty current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ulta analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ulta stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ulta Beauty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ulta conference calls.
Ulta Analyst Advice Details

Ulta Stock Analysis Indicators

Ulta Beauty stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ulta Beauty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ulta Beauty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ulta Beauty stock analysis, traders can identify Ulta Beauty position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow766.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity2.5 B
Capital Lease Obligations1.9 B
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments703.2 M
Cash703.2 M
50 Day M A602.3066
Net Interest Income15.1 M
Total Current Liabilities1.8 B
Forward Price Earnings22.4719
Investments-383.1 M
Stock Based Compensation42.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-383.1 M
Tax Provision378.9 M
Other Current Assets134.1 M
Accounts Payable563.8 M
Net Debt1.2 B
Other Operating Expenses9.7 B
Non Current Assets TotalB
Liabilities And Stockholders EquityB
Non Currrent Assets Other112.6 M

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When running Ulta Beauty's price analysis, check to measure Ulta Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ulta Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of Ulta Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ulta Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ulta Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ulta Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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